// All-In Podcast • Prediction Tracker

Every Bestie prediction.
Scored against reality.

We extracted 700 predictions from 92 episodes of the All-In Podcast and scored them against what actually happened. Here's who gets it right.

700
Predictions
92
Episodes
66
Scored
4
Besties
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Interactive filters • Sortable predictions • Alpha signals
Bestie Leaderboard
#1
J-Cal
66%
11 correct • 3 partial • 5 wrong
288 total predictions • 19 scored
#2
Friedberg
62%
10 correct • 11 partial • 4 wrong
250 total predictions • 25 scored
#3
Chamath
61%
10 correct • 3 partial • 6 wrong
59 total predictions • 19 scored
#4
Sacks
50%
1 correct • 1 partial • 1 wrong
103 total predictions • 3 scored
How It Works
01

Extract

AI processes full episode transcripts to identify prediction-like statements. Speaker detection assigns each call to the right Bestie.

02

Score

Each prediction is verified against real-world outcomes using web research and cross-validated with multiple sources for accuracy.

03

Track

Weekly pipeline auto-detects new episodes, extracts fresh predictions, and updates the scorecard. Pending predictions get scored as outcomes unfold.

Best & Worst Predictions
Correct
Stablecoins will be the biggest business winner in crypto
Friedberg & Chamath • 2024 • Tether hit $140B+ in stablecoin market cap
Correct
M&A wave coming as regulatory environment shifts
Chamath • 2024 • $1.9T in announced deals by mid-2025
Correct
Autonomy is going to be the breakout tech story
Friedberg • 2025 • Waymo 250K+ rides/week, Tesla FSD expanding
Wrong
Copper will go parabolic in 2025
Friedberg • 2025 • Copper traded flat, $4.00-$4.30/lb range